Vegas Over/Under: 30.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 28-54 The Bet: Beneath with marginal confidence Rinse and repeat.
In 2013-14, the New York Knicks’ 37-45 record could not quite fit their over/under of 49.5. Back in 2014-15, they came 23.5 games short of reaching their over/under of 40.5. In 2015-16, they had their over/under set at 31.5 and won 32 games. In 2016-17, their 31-51 record fell well shy of the 38.5 over/under.
Each year, Vegas provides a realistic anticipation, listens because the people works itself into a frenzy about the diminished expectations for a major-market staff and then (probably) collectively yells as its forecast either ends true or overly optimistic.
The last time New York exceeded the projection by more than a single match was 2012-13, and the roster was quite a little different. So should this season break the mould?
Yes, Kristaps Porzingis is talented. Yes, Tim Hardaway Jr. could inject more offensive firepower into the lineup. Yes, Madison Square Garden will most likely be filled with cheering fans, even if some (many?) Of them will probably be rooting on the resistance.
But Carmelo Anthony remains on the roster, and there’s no end in sight into the endless will-they-won’t-they trade saga. Ramon Sessions, Frank Ntilikina and Ron Baker include the point-guard spinning. Convincing depth exists at zero positions.
Please. Do not wager on the Knicks to win more than 30 games.